Monday, November 3, 2008
Not that my analysis last week on the importance of Virginia was all that difficult to come up with, but I still feel cool hearing Nate Silver, the brilliant statistician/analyst from fivethirtyeight.com agree with me, in a Newsweek interview no less:
Virginia, for my money, is the most important state in this election. If John McCain loses it, his path to victory is exceptionally narrow—he would need to pull out an upset in Pennsylvania, while holding on to Florida and Ohio, and avoiding a sweep out West.
Keep in mind, Obama doesn't need Virginia. McCain needs Virginia. Obama can win any number of ways. McCain only has a few. (See next post)
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